They might actually hold that referendum after all. Premier Jacques Parizeau and his separatist followers are excited by recent surveys conducted for the Parti Québécois that suggest 50 to 53 per cent of Quebecers will vote “yes” in a referendum on sovereignty.

Observers are cautioning that some of that support is soft. In an actual vote, which may be held as early as Oct. 30, the percentage voting for sovereignty is likely to be smaller.

A referendum was originally scheduled for this summer. But it was put on hold because polls showed the separatists could count on only about 40 to 45 per cent of votes.